Notes:
• Deshaun Watson is back from suspension and gets his old team, the Texans, in his first game back. Some have him instantly ranked in the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks, but I need to see him in action before doing so.
• Josh Jacobs scored the second-most points of the season (48.3 in PPR) of any player in fantasy football this season after his 86-yard walk-off touchdown in overtime. He finished with an absurd 303 total yards, and is currently the No. 1 scoring running back in fantasy. The Raiders aren’t going to win many games, but Jacobs and teammate Davante Adams will help league managers do so.
• Rachaad White took on lead-back duties for the Buccaneers with Leonard Fournette out of the lineup and delivered in a big way. He finished with 109 yards on 23 touches, including nine receptions on as many targets. White could be the guy the rest of the way.
• The Jets’ running game is one to avoid. Michael Carter got the start, while James Robinson was a healthy inactive, but Carter picked up an ankle injury that will force him to miss some time. Ty Johnson and Zonovan Knight played in relief, but neither is worth starting unless there is more clarity on the situation.
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• Garrett Wilson is the only consistent for the Jets’ offense. The rookie wideout has 90-plus receiving yards in three of his last four games. The switch to Mike White at quarterback will get the Jets’ offense off the ground.
• The Rams continue to fall from grace as Allen Robinson is likely out of the remainder of the season, Matthew Stafford could be as well, and the run game is a mess. The Rams have really hurt fantasy managers this year after fielding such an explosive offense last season.
• Start prepping ahead if you’re in playoff hunt. Look for matchups to exploit in the final weeks of the season.
• Two more teams on a bye this week. Players for the Cardinals and Panthers need to be out of your lineups this week.
Thursday Night Game: Bills vs. Patriots
Sunday Night Game: Colts vs. Cowboys
Monday Night Game: Saints vs. Buccaneers
Top Pickups of the Week: Samaje Perine, JaMycal Hasty, Zay Jones, Nico Collins, Foster Moreau, Vikings D/ST
Buy Low: Justin Herbert, Latavius Murray, D’Onta Foreman, Brandon Aiyuk, Terry McLaurin, David Njoku
Sell High: Lamar Jackson, James Conner, Deebo Samuel, Mike Evans, Pat Freiermuth
Send to the Waiver Wire: Russell Wilson, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Darnell Mooney, Tyler Boyd, Trey McBride
Start ‘Em:
Quarterback: Trevor Lawrence
Running Back: David Montgomery
Wide Receiver: Brandon Aiyuk
Tight End: Gerald Everett
Defense: Commanders
Sit ‘Em:
Quarterback: Geno Smith
Running Back: Isiah Pacheco
Wide Receiver: Diontae Johnson
Tight End: Hayden Hurst
Defense: 49ers
Sleepers:
Quarterback: Jared Goff
Running Back: Kyren Williams
Wide Receiver: Donovan Peoples-Jones
Tight End: Logan Thomas
Defense: Falcons
NFL Picks for Week 13
Weekly Pick ‘Em (Season Record: 104-74-1)
Bills (vs. Patriots)
Vikings (vs. Jets)
Ravens (vs. Broncos)
Steelers (vs. Falcons)
Eagles (vs. Titans)
Lions (vs. Jaguars)
Giants (vs. Commanders)
Browns (vs. Texans)
Packers (vs. Bears)
Seahawks (vs. Rams)
Dolphins (vs. 49ers)
Chargers (vs. Raiders)
Bengals (vs. Chiefs)
Cowboys (vs. Colts)
Buccaneers (vs. Saints)
Five Picks Against the Spread (Season Record: 32-26-2)
Vikings -3 vs. Jets
Steelers +1.5 vs. Falcons
Dolphins +3.5 vs. 49ers
Bengals +2.5 vs. Chiefs
Buccaneers -3.5 vs. Saints
Five Over-Under Totals (Season Record: 36-24)
Titans-Eagles over 44.5
Jaguars-Lions over 51.5
Browns-Texans under 47.5
Commanders-Giants under 40.5
Seahawks-Rams over 41.5
One Bold Prediction for the Week
Week 1: Baker Mayfield and Russell Wilson each throw for 300 yards and two touchdowns against their former team. (miss)
Week 2: Four different wideouts finish with over 100 receiving yards in the two Monday night games. (miss)
Week 3: Jalen Hurts has five total touchdowns against the Commanders. (miss)
Week 4: Lamar Jackson has more than 500 yards of offense against the Bills. (miss)
Week 5: Josh Allen finishes with more rushing yards than the entire Steelers offense. (miss)
Week 6: Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes combine for 800 yards of total offense in a potential preview of the AFC Championship game. (miss)
Week 7: Derrick Henry has three rushing touchdowns against the Colts. (miss)
Week 8: The Colts rush for more than 200 yards against the Commanders. (miss)
Week 9: Davante Adams goes over 150 receiving yards after being held to one catch in Week 8. (missed by 4 yards on 17 targets)
Week 10: Justin Fields has his first 300-yard passing game on the season against Lions. (miss)
Week 11: The Patriots’ defense forces four turnovers against the Jets. (miss)
Week 12: Tua Tagovailoa throws five touchdown passes against the Texans. (miss)
Week 13: The Jets defense holds Justin Jefferson under 55 receiving yards.
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