Here are my plays for the Big Game. My prop bets will correlate with my pick to win and cover the game. I will also post more cross-sport prop bets as we get closer to the game to my Twitter page (@JeremyConn1057) and on Facebook. Be careful because everything gets inflated on these prop bets as far as the juice is concerned. Pay attention to what you are betting.
My Conn-Crete lock for the Big Game is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3. I think the game will be decided by the front seven of the Bucs. They will be facing three backup offensive linemen, and I truly believe that Todd Bowles will have that defense ready to play. I believe they will slow down Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce and force the others to beat them.
I will place a smaller wager on Tampa Bay on the money line, where Tampa is +150. I also lean to the under in the game. Plus, I like Tom Brady to win Super Bowl MVP at +150.
Total sacks in the game over 3.5 (-165)
Tampa over 1.5 sacks (-205)
First Touchdown Scored
Mike Evans (+625)
Leonard Fournette (+900)
Kansas City Chiefs Player Props
Patrick Mahomes under 330.5 passing yards (-120)
Tyreek Hill under 99.5 rec. yards (-120)
Travis Kelce under 100.5 rec. yards (-120)
Sammy Watkins over 32.5 rec. yards (-140)
Mecole Hardman over 27.5 rec. yards (-125)
I know people will be worried about the under for Mahomes, Kelce and Hill. But all of their numbers are inflated for this game. Bettors love to bet the overs and favorites.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Props
Tom Brady over 299.5 passing yards (-130)
Leonard Fournette over 3.5 rec. yards (-160)
Leonard Fournette over 25.5 rec. yards (-120)
Mike Evans over 4.5 receptions (-120)
Mike Evans over 66.5 rec. yards (-120)
Whether you fade or play, good luck with your picks.
Lines for prop bets are from ScoresAndOdds.com at time of writing.