Last Week’s Record: 4-1-1
Season Record: 13-8-1
It’s a bit of a light slate this week, as only 13 games are being played on Sunday and Monday. Here are my delicious picks for the week.
Houston Texans (1-4) at Indianapolis Colts (1-4)
Line: Indianapolis -10
I don’t usually gravitate toward the side that I see as way overrated, and that’s how I see a Colts team giving 10 points to a division foe that is also 1-4. I saw Carson Wentz up close and personal Oct. 11 and thought he just about played the best game he’s played since that horrible knee injury during the Eagles’ Super Bowl run behind Nick Foles. Sorry, not a believer. Meanwhile, aside from the 40-0 blowout loss to Buffalo, this Texans team is grinding for head coach David Culley. Even with David Mills at quarterback, I’ll go with the feistier 1-4 team getting 10 points.
The Pick: Indianapolis 24, Houston 19
Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) at Washington Football Team (2-3)
Line: Kansas City -6.5
Gotta believe in something, and since it isn’t Santa or the Easter Bunny, I’ll believe that Patrick Mahomes gets his supply chain going against a Washington team that is yo-yoing through 2021. Really, what I believe in is that the Kansas City locker room knows it’s got to pick it up big time if it plans to keep pace and overtake the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West. I just think Washington and quarterback un-extraordinaire Taylor Heinicke won’t come close to keeping up with the rabbit’s pace at which the Chiefs will play offense this Sunday in Landover, Md.
The Pick: Kansas City 33, Washington 20
Dallas Cowboys 4-1 at New England Patriots (2-3)
Line: Dallas -3.5
I keep being uber-impressed with the 2021 Cowboys. I continue to love what I am seeing from quarterback Dak Prescott and running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard. Prescott has some weapons, too, in Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz and Blake Jarwin. I also just really think the Cowboys are staying away from the drama and are very businesslike in their attitude. Meanwhile, the Mac Jones story is a very positive development for the Patriots in the post-Tom Brady era. But this team just doesn’t look remotely capable of staying with the mojo brewing in Dallas.
The Pick: Dallas 26, New England 17
Los Angeles Rams 4-1 at New York Giants (1-4)
Line: Los Angeles -9.5
Rams head coach Sean McVay will have his squad plenty amped for what could be a walkover game, even if it is 10 a.m. Ram-time at kickoff. The Giants figure to be missing the engine of their not-so-great offense. Quarterback Daniel Jones (concussion), running back Saquon Barkley (ankle) and receiver Kenny Golladay (knee) may all be out this week, though it’s possible Jones will be cleared in time to play Sunday. I think the Rams will steal a couple extra possessions via turnovers, and Matthew Stafford will be in the zone for this one.
The Pick: Los Angeles 34, New York 16
Seattle Seahawks (2-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3)
Line: Pittsburgh -5.5
Yeah, I know this is a Steelers team that beat the Bills handily way back in Week 1, only to suffer three consecutive losses at the hands of the Raiders, Bengals and Packers. But the Steelers showed they have a little life left in them with a 27-19 win at home against the Broncos Oct. 10.
And, yeah, I know Russell Wilson is out for several weeks, maybe as long as 7-8 weeks. But Pete Carroll isn’t one to wallow in doom and gloom. I also know that Geno Smith — a one-time highly-ranked prospect coming out of college — has been pretty much a bust of an NFL quarterback.
But I saw a little something in Smith last week as he tried to rally his squad against the Rams. That little bit of spark was good enough to make me believe that he can at least keep it a field goal game against a so-so Steelers squad. Plus, the Seahawks’ defense will be on a mission to keep Seattle in this one.
The Pick: Pittsburgh 23, Seattle 20
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