Spencer Schultz (@ravens4dummies on Twitter/X) has joined PressBox to share his favorite plays each day.
Thanksgiving day picks:
Parlay: Dallas Cowboys -9.5 alternate spread, San Francisco 49ers -3.5 alternate spread, Detroit Lions -2.5 alternate spread, Green Bay Packers +13.5 alternate spread.
For a more aggressive honey hole, the Packers have covered this spread in all but two games. One of which was against Detroit, however, Jordan Love has found a nice rhythm and his young receivers have started to play with consistent confidence.
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown.
St. Brown is 14th in the NFL in red zone targets. He’s a major focal point of what Detroit does in goal-to-go situations.
David Montgomery 2+ touchdowns.
Montgomery pounds the rock whenever Detroit reaches the low red zone. Taking Montgomery to only score one touchdown is worthwhile as well.
CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown.
A dreadful Washington secondary will allow the player with the sixth-most red zone targets to continue his scorching tear. Lamb hits pay dirt at least once. Twice if you’re feeling frisky.
Jake Ferguson anytime touchdown.
Ferguson leads the NFL in red zone targets. The juice is at least +200 across various sports books. We will take those odds.
Micah Parsons to record a sack.
Howell takes sacks. Washington’s line stinks. Parsons doesn’t.
Sam Howell longest pass over 34.5 yards.
Howell looks to push the ball downfield against a stout Dallas unit that will put him in 13+ passing downs.
Christian McCaffrey anytime touchdown.
Sure, why not? He scores. A lot.
Brandon Aiyuk anytime touchdown.
Aiyuk is in the conversation for the top receiver in the NFL this season. At around +180, we love the juice and Aiyuk has become the focal point of the 49ers’ passing offense.
Geno Smith over 34.5 pass attempts.
Seattle has struggled to run the ball efficiently. Kenneth Walker is out. The 49ers’ run defense is elite. Smith will have to push the ball for Seattle to stand a chance. He has a triceps bruise, but that shouldn’t impact him other than perhaps deep balls.
D.K. Metcalf over 61.5 receiving yards.
Metcalf averages 68 per game against San Francisco and has hit this mark in five of his last six games.
Photo Credit: Kenya Allen/PressBox
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