Spencer Schultz (@ravens4dummies on Twitter/X) has joined PressBox to share his favorite plays each day.

Four-unit hammer: Derrick Henry over 3.5 receiving yards.

Henry has crossed this mark in six of his last seven. His route participation has reached double digits in four straight games after not being the case prior. Henry is an afterthought in the pass game, although he was a dangerous after the catch threat in Tennessee with 9 receptions of 20+ yards after the catch in 2022-2023.

Josh Downs over 66.5 receiving yards.

Downs has crossed this mark in four of five, with increased volume when Joe Flacco starts. Downs had 24 receptions on 30 targets for 217 yards and two touchdowns over Flacco’s three previous starts. The Vikings pass defense allows the 30th most pass yards per game and the most fantasy points to wide receivers per game.

Eagles -6.5.

The Jags traded Cam Robinson and lost Christian Kirk to injury. Brian Thomas has a rib injury that will prevent him from playing full tilt, while Gabe Davis is also banged up. The Eagles have incorporated more under center offense which has led to increased efficiency. Laddering the Eagles up to -16.5 is a solid play. 

Long shot plays:

Justin Jefferson and Josh Downs to combine for 200 and 250 receiving yards. Currently +240 and +740 on FanDuel.

Mo Alie-Cox to score 1 and 2 TDs. 

Cox had 6/78/1 in two games with Flacco starting. He’s a big red zone target.

Derrick Henry 125+ total yards and a touchdown. 

Vegas has priced buyers away from Henry and only a few books are offering expansive props.

Photo Credit: Kenya Allen/PressBox

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Spencer Schultz

Spencer Schultz is a published NFL Draft Scout and host of The Exit 52 Podcast. You can find him on Twitter/X at @Ravens4dummies.