Spencer Schultz (@ravens4dummies on Twitter/X) has joined PressBox to share his favorite plays each day.

Commanders +14.5 + Dyami Brown 40+ receiving yards + Austin Ekeler 40+ rushing and receiving yards + Zach Ertz 3+ receptions + over 49.5.

The Commanders will lean on the hurry up quick pass game in a loud, raucous Detroit which alleviates crowd noise while keeping the Lions pressure packages from getting too complex. This will lead the Lions to shade Terry McLaurin, who could still produce, but opening up easy windows for Brown, Ertz and Ekeler.

Jameson Williams under 1.5 rushing yards + 60+ receiving yards + 20+ yard longest reception.

Williams is a stud at home for Detroit crossing this mark in 5 of 8 home games with big play ability against a shaky Washington secondary. Ben Johnson will want to make the Commanders respect his speed early to open up the run game.

Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown, first touchdown.

The Chiefs offense is difficult to read, but since Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins have integrated into Kansas City’s offense, it’s opened up Worthy’s usage in the screen and manufactured touch game, particularly in the red zone. Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and other speedsters have been emphasized in Chiefs playoff runs and I think we see the same today.

Nico Collins anytime touchdown.

I truly believe Collins is one of the underrated superstars in the sport today. He’s scored in 7 of 13 games and is a threat to score from anywhere on the field. His length, strength and ability after the catch with a smart understanding of leverage will give even Trent McDuffie problems.

Chiefs team total over 25.5 points.

The trends say that the Chiefs don’t cover and the under hits at home. However, they’re averaging over 33 points a game at home coming off a bye in the playoffs. Andy Reid is incredible coming out of a bye and they’re as healthy as they’ve been all year. 

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Spencer Schultz

Spencer Schultz is a published NFL Draft Scout and host of The Exit 52 Podcast. You can find him on Twitter/X at @Ravens4dummies.